Posted by
Brett K on Wednesday, March 05, 2008 6:14:00 PM
As Hillary took the stage for her victory speech in Columbus, Ohio,
last night, there was one thing going through our minds: "Welcome
back." (Or "Crap, why won't you just go away, you witch!") After a long
stretch of losses to the Magic Negro, Clinton's massive and surprising
victories in Ohio, Texas, and Rhode Island have rejuvenated her
campaign and put her back on the map.
What does this mean, and why did she need it?
The
Democratic race is no longer about delegate count. It is about the
unaffiliated superdelegates that get to decide the nominee regardless
of popular opinion. Technically before last night there was a chance
either could gain the 2025 delegates needed, but it was unlikely. It is
now impossible; there simply aren't enough delegates to go around. This
election is probably going all the way to the convention this summer.
These
big wins are about showing the superdelegates who is the real nominee,
and who the mainstream electorate wants to be president. She didn't
pick up any significant delegate numbers last night; in fact, Obama may
have come out with more in Texas. But the state still gets put in the
Clinton column, and that's all the superdelegates will care about. She
has won all the major states, while Obama has won the little ones. The
next primary is Pennsylvania, but it's not for another 7 weeks, which
will continue to bleed each candidate dry on the campaign trail.
Clinton is all but guaranteed a victory there, with double-digit leads
in the polls.
It is impossible to say who is going to get the
superdelegates' votes. I think it will split very evenly down the
middle. There is a valid argument for each side. For Clinton: She is a
known factor, she's been around for a long time, her ideas are more
concrete and logical. For Obama: He is a new face, his numbers are
better for electability, he will be much prettier compared to the
72-year-old McCain, and he is a brilliant speaker.
As I
predicted, crunch time is approaching and the party is fleeing from the
unknown Obama to the safe Clinton. She demonstrated her "experience"
over the NAFTA deal these past weeks, as she was in the White House for
its creation. The SNL skit mocking the media's Obama-favor also
definitely helped, especially because of its accuracy. (83% of
"objective" news coverage of Obama was positive. That is ridiculous!)
A
group of Democrat leaders were about to approach Clinton requesting her
to drop out in order to maintain unity in the party. But there is no
way she will now. She wants this more than anyone can imagine, and she
has a real shot. She'd rather take her chances in the general election
for her own benefit than drop out for the benefit of the party.
Congratulations, Mrs. Clinton. Welcome back.