Posted by
Brett K on Tuesday, January 15, 2008 1:59:00 PM
Tonight is the Michigan primary election for the Republicans. Mitt
Romney holds a nearly 3 point lead over John McCain according to the
latest RCP average, but of course anything can happen. What I'm more
interested is what the media has been proclaiming will be the fallout
for Romney depending on this election.
After Iowa, commentators
stated that Romney suffered a devastating loss that could only be saved
by a win in New Hampshire. After coming second in New Hampshire, he is
still alive and well. In fact, he actually has the most delegates of
all the Republicans. Now all I am hearing is that Romney needs to win
in Michigan to have any chance.
How much longer will this go on?
Once we get into the closed primaries, I think the race will truly
begin to take shape. Michigan and NH are both open, meaning
Independents and even Democrats can vote for GOP candidates. And if you
watch McCain and Huckabee in the debates, it's as if they are targeting
more liberal voters. This strategy will work for now, but once the
closed primaries begin, candidates like Romney, Giuliani, and Thompson
are going to do better as they campaign for conservative Republicans.
The
point is, don't discount Romney or even Rudy at this point. A late
break is even possible, though unlikely, for Thompson, after an
incredible performance at the SC debate. Hell, he got my primary vote
just for that. It'll be interesting to watch!