Posted by
Brett K on Wednesday, January 09, 2008 11:29:00 PM
A major question going into the election process that voters have to ask is that of electability.
The Democrats
The
Democratic field only consists of 2 candidates: Hillary Clinton and
Barack Obama. Electability doesn't appear to be going through the minds
of any voters at this point, which is actually typical of Democrats.
Clinton has a major advantage in the nomination race: She is the
establishment candidate. And in the Democratic Party, the establishment
candidate has always won. 2000: Al Gore defeats insurgent Bill Bradley.
2004: John Kerry defeats insurgent Howard Dean. It is very likely that
now, in 2008, Hillary Clinton will defeat insurgent Barack Obama.
But
in a national race, electability is a difficult question between these.
They are both very similar on the issues, but likability is a big
difference. Barack Obama is just more likable than Hillary Clinton.
This gives him a much greater chance over any Republican, none of which
seem to have the likability that Obama enjoys.
The Republicans
The
GOP field is interesting because each candidate has individual
obstacles to overcome. However, what will become the primary difference
between the candidates will be the issues and conservatism. None of the
candidates are Ronald Reagan, but some are more conservative than
others. Conservatism wins in this country every time it runs against
liberalism, and Republicans need to choose a conservative. This rules
out both McCain and Huckabee, who are blatantly liberal on several
issues, not least of which include immigration and taxes. If we
nominate any of the candidates except for these two, I believe that
ticket can defeat either Democrat.
The Last Word
For
the Democrats, the most electable nationally is probably Barack Obama,
not because of the issues but because of how likable he is. For the
Republicans, any candidate other than Huckabee or McCain can defeat
either Democrat.